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Red106
17565.5
315863.3
335413.4
Blue163
529933.6
166250.6
151971.7
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions137145050100200250300350106163

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
175
#40
65.51.6
66.765.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 6.3
1519
#14
71.71.0
70.371.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3158
#13
63.31.6
53.351.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 12.7
1662
#34
50.61.0
42.743.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3354
#100
13.41.6
17.916.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 20.1
5299
#74
33.61.0
31.031.9
Auto
Teleop
End