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Red171
220246.7
407770.0
151971.7
Blue133
35757.9
218062.8
395937.7
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1811490100300400171133

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1519
#14
71.70.3
71.271.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 9.0
2180
#65
62.81.1
63.362.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
70.00.3
57.457.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 12.1
357
#47
57.91.1
58.257.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2202
#27
46.70.3
47.847.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 8.9
3959
#98
37.71.1
32.631.6
Auto
Teleop
End