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Red265
90065.9
167168.5
492524.2
Blue131
93229.9
52734.9
449940.3
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions143940200300400500265131

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1671
#53
68.56.5
65.171.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 28.2
4499
#83
40.31.5
39.540.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
900
#52
65.96.5
51.758.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 31.1
527
#85
34.91.5
26.928.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4925
#81
24.26.5
18.725.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 5.7
932
#92
29.91.5
35.236.7
Auto
Teleop
End