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Red115
500636.3
218062.8
283448.3
Blue180
493336.8
491450.7
181664.7
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions136144050100200250300350115180

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2180
#65
62.81.1
62.261.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.9
1816
#35
64.71.9
61.563.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2834
#37
48.31.1
47.846.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.4
4914
#69
50.71.9
51.253.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
5006
#95
36.31.1
26.925.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.5
4933
#86
36.81.9
29.831.7
Auto
Teleop
End