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Red162
219847.8
494658.3
491166.6
Blue189
39983.5
48444.6
315863.3
43%Model gave it57%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions158174050100200250300350162189

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4911
#19
66.60.1
65.966.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 16.9
399
#1
83.50.9
76.577.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
4946
#33
58.30.1
55.255.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 5.0
3158
#13
63.30.9
51.152.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2198
#46
47.80.1
39.739.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.1
484
#79
44.60.9
44.044.9
Auto
Teleop
End