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Red220
248599.3
42239.5
52734.9
Blue143
265552.7
299658.6
297833.5
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions155124050100200250300350400220143

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2485
#17
99.33.5
87.891.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 40.7
2996
#20
58.60.7
54.755.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
422
#22
39.53.5
33.637.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 13.2
2655
#36
52.70.7
44.244.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
527
#85
34.93.5
28.431.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.4
2978
#73
33.50.7
29.730.5
Auto
Teleop
End