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Red148
512318.1
220246.7
290771.1
Blue122
257621.5
17565.5
78159.4
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions117142050200250300350400148122

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
71.11.4
62.563.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.7
175
#40
65.50.8
63.262.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2202
#27
46.71.4
47.548.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 12.8
781
#43
59.40.8
56.355.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
5123
#84
18.11.4
10.612.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.4
2576
#88
21.50.8
18.918.1
Auto
Teleop
End