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Red188
2056116.5
63951.6
361632.9
Blue205
255760.7
154049.5
1625100.1
29%Model gave it71%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1572150100300400188205

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
116.51.1
99.4100.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 16.4
1625
#23
100.10.0
97.197.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
639
#12
51.61.1
43.344.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 9.1
2557
#39
60.70.0
58.558.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3616
#63
32.91.1
23.124.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 16.6
1540
#57
49.50.0
50.250.1
Auto
Teleop
End