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Red245
5176.1
248599.3
191885.3
Blue265
147773.4
259094.5
1625100.1
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions259278100200300400500245265

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2485
#17
99.30.3
99.799.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.8
1625
#23
100.10.2
102.5102.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1918
#50
85.30.3
85.785.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 9.2
94.50.2
97.096.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
51
#11
76.10.3
76.676.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.7
1477
#31
73.40.2
75.875.7
Auto
Teleop
End