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Final 22014 Arkansas Regional
Red175
450026.6
1677.9
393747.8
Blue141
409015.0
299249.8
452259.9
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions156118050100200250300350175141

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
16
#1
77.90.4
77.1→77.5
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 18.0
4522
#3
59.90.3
59.5→59.8
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
3937
#10
47.80.4
47.0→47.4
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 2.0
2992
#9
49.80.3
49.4→49.7
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
4500
#23
26.60.4
25.8→26.2
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 11.6
4090
#37
15.00.3
14.6→14.9
Auto—
Teleop—
End—