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Quarterfinal 2-22014 Arkansas Regional
Red206
515321.5
233327.1
359350.2
Blue96
453230.2
235217.4
409241.0
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions968705015020025030020696

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3593
#12
50.21.9
48.9→50.7
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 9.3
4092
#7
41.00.1
40.9→41.0
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
2333
#18
27.11.9
25.7→27.6
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 3.1
4532
#5
30.20.1
30.0→30.2
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
5153
#4
21.51.9
20.1→22.0
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 4.2
2352
#24
17.40.1
17.2→17.4
Auto—
Teleop—
End—