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Quarterfinal 3-12014 Arkansas Regional
Red113
41832.5
31799.8
198554.1
Blue161
193932.1
366625.4
170638.1
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9196050150200250113161

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1985
#2
54.10.4
52.6→53.0
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 16.0
1706
#11
38.11.1
38.1→39.2
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
418
#26
32.50.4
31.0→31.4
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 0.3
1939
#22
32.11.1
32.1→33.2
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
3179
#31
9.80.4
8.3→8.7
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 15.6
3666
#14
25.41.1
25.4→26.5
Auto—
Teleop—
End—