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Quarterfinal 3-32014 Arkansas Regional
Red192
41832.5
31799.8
198554.1
Blue67
170638.1
366625.4
193932.1
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions919805015020025019267

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1985
#2
54.11.7
52.7→54.4
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 16.0
1706
#11
38.10.5
38.6→38.1
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
418
#26
32.51.7
31.1→32.7
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 0.3
1939
#22
32.10.5
32.6→32.1
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
3179
#31
9.81.7
8.4→10.1
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 15.6
3666
#14
25.40.5
26.0→25.4
Auto—
Teleop—
End—