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Red56
181041.5
409015.0
399113.0
Blue70
198554.1
450026.6
235217.4
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions578401001502002503003505670

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
41.50.4
27.226.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 12.6
54.10.8
34.333.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
4090
#37
15.00.4
15.414.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 11.6
4500
#23
26.60.8
17.716.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3991
#33
13.00.4
18.618.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 4.4
2352
#24
17.40.8
28.127.2
Auto
Teleop
End