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Qual 102014 Arkansas Regional
Red118
393747.8
453230.2
519527.1
Blue51
41832.5
235912.8
500631.1
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions545302040608010012011851

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3937
#10
47.85.5
28.5→33.9
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 15.3
418
#26
32.50.3
17.7→17.4
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
4532
#5
30.25.5
11.4→16.9
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 0.9
5006
#36
31.10.3
13.2→12.9
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
5195
#35
27.15.5
12.4→17.9
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 14.3
2359
#39
12.80.3
23.3→23.0
Auto—
Teleop—
End—