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Qual 122014 Arkansas Regional
Red36
322710.1
235217.4
396110.6
Blue32
359350.2
83237.8
517822.4
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions53530204060801001203632

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2352
#24
17.41.3
27.2→25.9
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 32.9
3593
#12
50.21.9
22.6→20.8
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
3961
#30
10.61.3
8.5→7.2
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 27.1
832
#16
37.81.9
19.0→17.2
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
3227
#32
10.11.3
16.0→14.7
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 12.2
5178
#25
22.41.9
12.6→10.7
Auto—
Teleop—
End—