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Red66
198554.1
399113.0
235912.8
Blue171
316040.8
359350.2
453522.0
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions837005010015066171

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
54.11.3
37.536.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.9
3593
#12
50.28.2
20.829.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3991
#33
13.01.3
20.719.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 27.8
3160
#19
40.88.2
33.241.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2359
#39
12.81.3
23.021.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 9.2
4535
#27
22.08.2
18.426.6
Auto
Teleop
End