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Qual 172014 Arkansas Regional
Red46
235217.4
525919.6
517822.4
Blue151
181041.5
449029.0
378323.0
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5549020408010012014016046151

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5178
#25
22.40.7
10.7→10.0
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 19.2
1810
#6
41.58.4
27.0→35.4
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
5259
#29
19.60.7
17.6→17.0
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 9.4
4490
#21
29.08.4
15.7→24.1
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
2352
#24
17.40.7
25.9→25.2
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 5.7
3783
#20
23.08.4
7.5→15.9
Auto—
Teleop—
End—