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Qual 192014 Arkansas Regional
Red148
193932.1
83237.8
351620.6
Blue98
519527.1
366625.4
500631.1
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7141010015020014898

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
832
#16
37.86.8
17.2→24.0
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 6.7
5006
#36
31.14.3
12.9→17.3
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
1939
#22
32.16.8
34.8→41.6
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 5.0
5195
#35
27.14.3
17.9→22.3
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
3516
#15
20.66.8
14.1→20.9
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 4.9
3666
#14
25.44.3
15.0→19.3
Auto—
Teleop—
End—