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Red51
316040.8
4530.2
235217.4
Blue95
233327.1
31799.8
453230.2
87%Model gave it13%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions107360501502002505195

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3160
#19
40.83.8
41.437.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 10.6
30.24.0
20.624.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
45
#13
30.23.8
29.625.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.1
2333
#18
27.14.0
10.914.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2352
#24
17.43.8
25.221.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 7.5
3179
#31
9.84.0
15.819.7
Auto
Teleop
End