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Red6
450026.6
378428.9
409015.0
Blue77
41832.5
396110.6
83237.8
38%Model gave it62%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions52790100150200250300677

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3784
#28
28.94.2
25.020.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 8.8
832
#16
37.80.2
22.923.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
4500
#23
26.64.2
26.722.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 5.9
418
#26
32.50.2
28.729.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4090
#37
15.04.2
4.60.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.3
3961
#30
10.60.2
22.622.8
Auto
Teleop
End