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Qual 362014 Arkansas Regional
Red102
453230.2
322710.1
299249.8
Blue65
316040.8
525919.6
378428.9
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions757705010015020010265

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2992
#9
49.82.2
42.6→44.8
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 9.0
3160
#19
40.81.0
37.7→36.7
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
4532
#5
30.22.2
25.8→28.0
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 1.2
3784
#28
28.91.0
20.8→19.8
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
3227
#32
10.12.2
7.1→9.3
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 9.5
5259
#29
19.61.0
18.1→17.1
Auto—
Teleop—
End—