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Qual 42014 Arkansas Regional
Red101
1677.9
170638.1
378428.9
Blue61
359350.2
4530.2
41832.5
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10155015020025010161

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
16
#1
77.90.6
40.3→40.9
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 27.6
3593
#12
50.20.1
22.7→22.6
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
1706
#11
38.10.6
32.5→33.0
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 5.6
418
#26
32.50.1
17.8→17.7
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
3784
#28
28.90.6
21.1→21.7
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 1.3
45
#13
30.20.1
21.5→21.5
Auto—
Teleop—
End—