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Qual 452014 Arkansas Regional
Red133
500631.1
322710.1
170638.1
Blue155
452259.9
449029.0
299249.8
12%Model gave it88%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions481200100150200250133155

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1706
#11
38.16.2
31.2→37.3
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 21.8
4522
#3
59.93.9
43.2→47.1
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
5006
#36
31.16.2
18.5→24.6
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 18.7
2992
#9
49.83.9
44.8→48.7
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
3227
#32
10.16.2
9.3→15.5
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 18.9
4490
#21
29.03.9
20.7→24.5
Auto—
Teleop—
End—