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Qual 492014 Arkansas Regional
Red140
453522.0
393747.8
83237.8
Blue66
351620.6
299249.8
170638.1
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9611405015020025030014066

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3937
#10
47.83.2
43.8→47.0
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 2.0
2992
#9
49.83.5
48.7→45.2
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
832
#16
37.83.2
30.0→33.3
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 0.3
1706
#11
38.13.5
37.3→33.8
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
4535
#27
22.03.2
24.8→28.0
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 1.4
3516
#15
20.63.5
24.8→21.3
Auto—
Teleop—
End—