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Qual 522014 Arkansas Regional
Red75
378323.0
409241.0
359350.2
Blue88
316040.8
453230.2
238827.0
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions80990501502002503007588

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3593
#12
50.20.6
39.9→39.3
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 9.5
3160
#19
40.80.6
39.4→38.8
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
4092
#7
41.00.6
26.1→25.5
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 10.8
4532
#5
30.20.6
27.3→26.8
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
3783
#20
23.00.6
17.0→16.4
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 3.9
2388
#8
27.00.6
28.9→28.3
Auto—
Teleop—
End—