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Qual 552014 Arkansas Regional
Red66
235217.4
359350.2
378428.9
Blue67
515321.5
366625.4
484919.9
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions806001001502002506667

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3593
#12
50.20.8
39.3→38.5
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 24.8
3666
#14
25.40.3
23.4→23.7
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
3784
#28
28.90.8
24.9→24.1
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 7.4
5153
#4
21.50.3
17.7→18.0
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
2352
#24
17.40.8
12.9→12.1
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 2.6
4849
#17
19.90.3
22.3→22.6
Auto—
Teleop—
End—