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Qual 582014 Arkansas Regional
Red105
316040.8
409241.0
235912.8
Blue127
181041.5
170638.1
83237.8
30%Model gave it70%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions74107050150200250105127

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4092
#7
41.01.8
25.5→27.3
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 0.6
1810
#6
41.51.8
34.6→36.5
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
3160
#19
40.81.8
38.8→40.6
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 2.6
1706
#11
38.11.8
33.8→35.7
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
2359
#39
12.81.8
15.3→17.2
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 25.0
832
#16
37.81.8
33.3→35.1
Auto—
Teleop—
End—