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Qual 642014 Arkansas Regional
Red117
316040.8
378323.0
83237.8
Blue156
452259.9
450026.6
399113.0
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10064050150200250117156

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3160
#19
40.81.5
40.6→42.1
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 19.1
4522
#3
59.95.7
49.6→55.3
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
832
#16
37.81.5
35.1→36.6
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 11.2
4500
#23
26.65.7
12.6→18.3
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
3783
#20
23.01.5
18.9→20.4
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 10.1
3991
#33
13.05.7
7.8→13.6
Auto—
Teleop—
End—