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Red128
4530.2
198554.1
181041.5
Blue61
351620.6
378428.9
519527.1
89%Model gave it11%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12652010015020025012861

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
54.10.8
47.748.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 25.2
3784
#28
28.90.2
25.225.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
41.50.8
39.440.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 14.4
5195
#35
27.10.2
20.820.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
45
#13
30.20.8
27.328.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 9.7
3516
#15
20.60.2
17.517.3
Auto
Teleop
End