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Qual 722014 Arkansas Regional
Red94
500631.1
83237.8
31799.8
Blue157
484919.9
359350.2
181041.5
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6211105015020025094157

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
832
#16
37.81.5
36.6→38.1
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 12.5
3593
#12
50.23.0
44.1→47.1
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
5006
#36
31.11.5
25.7→27.2
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 10.5
1810
#6
41.53.0
40.2→43.2
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
3179
#31
9.81.4
7.0→8.3
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 10.1
4849
#17
19.93.3
18.6→21.9
Auto—
Teleop—
End—