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Red225
84287.7
248663.8
240326.5
Blue101
378526.8
6033.0
172656.3
92%Model gave it8%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions17910050150200250300225101

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
842
#10
87.71.2
83.885.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 31.4
1726
#11
56.30.2
55.254.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
63.81.2
59.961.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 30.8
60
#7
33.00.3
31.731.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2403
#33
26.51.2
22.623.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.3
3785
#17
26.80.2
25.625.4
Auto
Teleop
End