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Qual 102014 Arizona Regional
Red95
172656.3
163316.1
385314.9
Blue11
456513.0
99121.0
240326.5
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions635201001502002509511

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1726
#11
56.32.8
42.0→44.9
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 29.8
2403
#33
26.53.5
24.1→20.6
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
1633
#27
16.12.8
9.8→12.6
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 4.8
991
#37
21.03.5
16.8→13.3
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
3853
#24
14.92.8
9.1→12.0
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 2.0
4565
#23
13.03.5
12.3→8.8
Auto—
Teleop—
End—