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Qual 122014 Arizona Regional
Red85
248663.8
496214.8
411112.4
Blue6
129010.2
40181.5
116533.2
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions51660100150200250300856

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2486
#1
63.82.6
29.6→32.3
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 30.6
1165
#2
33.24.8
34.0→29.2
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
4962
#44
14.82.6
11.0→13.7
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 4.6
1290
#46
10.24.8
19.8→15.0
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
4111
#14
12.42.6
12.7→15.4
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 10.9
4018
#48
1.54.8
9.5→4.8
Auto—
Teleop—
End—