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Red3
449623.4
505910.4
41265.0
Blue16
456513.0
385314.9
264714.9
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions57250100150200250316

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4496
#30
23.44.1
23.719.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 8.5
2647
#35
14.91.2
9.07.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
5059
#19
10.44.1
18.414.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 4.5
3853
#24
14.91.2
12.010.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4126
#47
5.04.1
10.26.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 7.9
4565
#23
13.01.2
8.87.7
Auto
Teleop
End