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Red55
49835.2
378526.8
521817.4
Blue106
121246.8
484111.3
163316.1
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5646010015020055106

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
498
#21
35.20.1
27.027.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 11.7
46.84.9
24.729.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3785
#17
26.80.1
16.016.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 10.7
1633
#27
16.14.9
12.617.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
5218
#41
17.40.1
11.211.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 6.1
4841
#38
11.34.9
10.115.0
Auto
Teleop
End