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Qual 292014 Arizona Regional
Red5
521817.4
996-5.2
505910.4
Blue43
520013.3
301917.3
41265.0
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions31420100150200543

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5218
#41
17.42.3
11.3→9.0
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 0.1
3019
#34
17.30.2
14.7→14.9
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
5059
#19
10.42.3
14.3→12.0
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 2.9
5200
#28
13.30.2
19.3→19.5
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
996
#49
-5.22.3
7.1→4.8
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 10.2
4126
#47
5.00.2
6.1→6.3
Auto—
Teleop—
End—