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Red11
264714.9
129010.2
996-5.2
Blue7
46299.5
521817.4
40181.5
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2932020406080100117

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2647
#35
14.91.5
7.15.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.4
5218
#41
17.42.0
16.814.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1290
#46
10.21.5
20.318.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.7
4629
#42
9.52.0
13.711.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
996
#49
-5.21.5
1.90.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 6.7
4018
#48
1.52.0
0.9-1.1
Auto
Teleop
End