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Red89
394427.6
496214.8
301917.3
Blue56
414625.5
163316.1
520717.9
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions527101001502008956

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3944
#26
27.62.8
24.026.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.1
4146
#39
25.51.0
34.833.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3019
#34
17.32.8
15.318.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.6
5207
#45
17.91.0
18.617.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4962
#44
14.82.8
15.918.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.3
1633
#27
16.11.0
14.913.9
Auto
Teleop
End