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Qual 512014 Arizona Regional
Red172
247824.6
81260.0
498516.0
Blue43
385314.9
237530.5
301917.3
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8355010015020017243

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
812
#5
60.04.7
54.0→58.6
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 29.4
2375
#15
30.50.8
31.2→30.4
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
2478
#13
24.67.8
16.6→24.4
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 7.3
3019
#34
17.31.4
18.1→16.8
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
4985
#18
16.07.8
8.1→15.9
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 1.1
3853
#24
14.91.4
9.9→8.6
Auto—
Teleop—
End—