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Qual 562014 Arizona Regional
Red150
505910.4
418352.8
248663.8
Blue55
504310.0
172656.3
101115.7
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1118105015020025015055

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2486
#1
63.83.6
52.0→55.6
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 7.5
1726
#11
56.32.5
52.7→50.1
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
4183
#8
52.82.2
46.0→48.2
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 37.2
1011
#20
15.72.5
19.6→17.1
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
5059
#19
10.43.6
8.7→12.3
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 0.4
5043
#43
10.02.5
13.3→10.7
Auto—
Teleop—
End—