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Red165
116533.2
81260.0
121246.8
Blue102
41265.0
182852.8
418352.8
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13610650150200250165102

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
812
#5
60.01.7
57.158.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 7.1
52.80.4
52.552.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
46.82.2
45.547.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 5.9
52.80.4
54.754.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
33.22.6
28.631.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 28.2
4126
#47
5.00.6
3.32.6
Auto
Teleop
End