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Red135
81260.0
378526.8
284037.6
Blue117
41265.0
84287.7
40181.5
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12473050100150200250135117

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
812
#5
60.00.9
58.859.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 27.7
842
#10
87.72.4
79.782.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2840
#16
37.61.3
36.137.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 32.6
4126
#47
5.02.4
2.65.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3785
#17
26.81.3
21.322.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 25.3
4018
#48
1.52.6
-1.11.5
Auto
Teleop
End