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Red60
378526.8
248663.8
520013.3
Blue11
244918.5
264714.9
496214.8
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions674301001502002506011

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
63.80.3
29.929.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 45.2
2449
#22
18.53.0
19.616.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3785
#17
26.80.3
19.519.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 11.8
2647
#35
14.93.0
13.210.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
5200
#28
13.30.5
13.313.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.5
4962
#44
14.813.2
24.211.0
Auto
Teleop
End