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Red125
84287.7
240326.5
248663.8
Blue111
81260.0
411112.4
284037.6
93%Model gave it7%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions18396050150200250300125111

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
842
#10
87.70.9
84.883.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 27.7
812
#5
60.00.0
59.759.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
63.80.9
60.960.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 26.2
2840
#16
37.60.0
37.337.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2403
#33
26.50.9
23.622.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 14.1
4111
#14
12.40.0
12.112.1
Auto
Teleop
End