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Red165
248663.8
84287.7
240326.5
Blue121
411112.4
284037.6
81260.0
92%Model gave it8%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions17996050150200250300165121

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
842
#10
87.70.0
83.983.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 27.7
812
#5
60.00.2
59.860.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
63.80.0
60.059.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 26.2
2840
#16
37.60.2
37.337.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2403
#33
26.50.0
22.722.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 14.1
4111
#14
12.40.3
12.112.4
Auto
Teleop
End