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Red58
237530.5
182852.8
244918.5
Blue120
172656.3
6033.0
378526.8
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1031145015020058120

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
52.80.8
53.552.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.6
1726
#11
56.30.2
55.055.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2375
#15
30.50.8
31.330.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.4
60
#7
33.00.2
31.531.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2449
#22
18.50.9
19.518.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 8.2
3785
#17
26.80.2
25.425.6
Auto
Teleop
End