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Red123
168726.7
23051.8
24628.6
Blue160
216866.3
371917.8
404859.4
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions99145050200250300350123160

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
230
Unranked
51.80.3
51.651.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 14.5
2168
Unranked
66.30.4
64.665.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
246
Unranked
28.60.3
28.328.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 30.9
4048
Unranked
59.40.4
57.758.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1687
Unranked
26.70.3
26.526.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 8.9
3719
Unranked
17.80.4
16.016.4
Auto
Teleop
End