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Qual 122014 BattleCry 15
Red131
404859.4
83932.0
110039.4
Blue62
13152.9
409726.5
242324.8
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13410405015020025013162

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4048
Unranked
59.40.1
56.8→56.9
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 6.6
131
Unranked
52.92.3
50.3→47.9
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
1100
Unranked
39.40.1
46.4→46.5
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 12.9
4097
Unranked
26.52.3
27.9→25.6
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
839
Unranked
32.00.1
26.4→26.5
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 7.1
2423
Unranked
24.82.3
30.1→27.8
Auto—
Teleop—
End—