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Red167
88537.0
12673.1
146839.6
Blue101
16634.1
23051.8
7853.0
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14213850100200167101

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
126
Unranked
73.11.3
60.161.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 20.1
78
Unranked
53.01.9
53.751.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1468
Unranked
39.61.3
42.243.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 12.2
230
Unranked
51.81.9
44.242.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
885
Unranked
37.01.3
39.040.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.9
166
Unranked
34.11.9
40.438.6
Auto
Teleop
End